Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 5.682107 6.253925 6.863035 7.561001 8.339702 9.182912 10.166646
2025-11-30 4.771778 5.566739 6.470372 7.577174 8.901159 10.440091 12.373027
2025-12-07 4.045538 4.952378 6.040489 7.450427 9.240782 11.453867 14.420598
2025-12-14 3.467886 4.420792 5.617734 7.245286 9.421658 12.261046 16.294271
2025-12-21 3.077596 4.064561 5.355104 7.186564 9.751724 13.265907 18.529839
2025-12-28 2.844003 3.878908 5.282738 7.355073 10.385510 14.732248 21.580520
2026-01-04 2.640467 3.706538 5.201144 7.487739 10.965931 16.170856 24.766662
2026-01-11 2.438260 3.511605 5.061441 7.510076 11.370434 17.375730 27.734808
2026-01-18 2.241447 3.303177 4.877425 7.438144 11.609052 18.332822 30.409243
2026-01-25 2.063593 3.105477 4.688228 7.332765 11.772388 19.171385 32.975594
2026-02-01 1.905803 2.924011 4.505907 7.215824 11.895809 19.943789 35.511319
2026-02-08 1.765229 2.757405 4.331416 7.091596 11.987136 20.659655 38.024322
2026-02-15 1.649303 2.623823 4.203151 7.039851 12.211327 21.659530 41.272677
2026-02-22 1.580665 2.562567 4.189426 7.185425 12.806976 23.417052 46.304271
2026-03-01 1.483966 2.446272 4.072194 7.133835 13.028711 24.485672 50.077123
2026-03-08 1.378892 2.307494 3.904474 6.972964 13.021752 25.098383 52.958072
2026-03-15 1.302804 2.213447 3.807780 6.934606 13.248115 26.205789 57.110214
2026-03-22 1.263678 2.181953 3.820665 7.106068 13.913952 28.311243 63.924028
2026-03-29 1.221859 2.142226 3.814687 7.238793 14.512323 30.344645 70.917497
2026-04-05 1.168969 2.078137 3.757718 7.262963 14.880562 31.909938 77.012101
2026-04-12 1.108816 1.996230 3.660437 7.195056 15.039123 33.012114 82.094769
2026-04-19 1.049434 1.911837 3.552162 7.094239 15.112583 33.921268 86.818333
2026-04-26 0.993217 1.829942 3.443021 6.981918 15.147463 34.740472 91.439601